Balancing public-health objectives against socio-economic cost.
I have worked extensively on the mathematical modelling and control of epidemic outbreaks, including optimal social distancing policies and switched control strategies. The central difficulty is balancing public health objectives against socio-economic cost.
Key contributions include methods for minimizing the epidemic final size while constraining the infected peak, and switched NMPC approaches that optimize epidemiological and economic objectives jointly.
@article{sereno2023impacts,title={Impacts of Quantifying Social Distancing Measures on {MPC} Performance for {SIR}-Type Systems},author={Sereno, Juan E. and Ferramosca, Antonio and González, Alejandro H. and D'Jorge, A.},journal={Latin American Applied Research},volume={53},number={4},pages={417--422},year={2023},doi={10.52292/j.laar.2023.3278}}
2022
Automatica
Minimizing the epidemic final size while containing the infected peak prevalence in SIR systems
Juan E. Sereno, A. Anderson, Antonio Ferramosca, and 2 more authors
@article{sereno2022minimizing,title={Minimizing the epidemic final size while containing the infected peak prevalence in {SIR} systems},author={Sereno, Juan E. and Anderson, A. and Ferramosca, Antonio and Hernandez-Vargas, Esteban A. and González, Alejandro H.},journal={Automatica},volume={144},pages={110496},year={2022},doi={10.1016/j.automatica.2022.110496},}